Un poco de tranquilidad, leyendo al gran Peter Lynch:
"Cada 2 años el mercado corrige (inter-año) un 10% y cada 6 años un 25%". "Habrá correcciones de doble dígito aseguradas cada 2-6 años"
Estamos en el segundo caso. Sabiéndo que esto puede e iba a pasar, tranquilidad para lo que viene. Este 2018 ha sido nefasto, probablemente peor que 2008 atendiendo a todos los asset classes de inversión.
https://www.marketwatch.com/story/how-bad-has-2018-been-for-investors-the-worst-ever-according-to-one-metric-2018-11-26
The markets had a 10 or 11 percent return, compounded over the last 40 or 50 years, let’s say. But the returns are quite volatile, inter-year. For example, there have been 95 years so far this century. Fifty times, the market has had a decline of 10 percent or more. This does not mean 50 “down” years – the market might have been up 26 percent at one point in the year, finished up 4 percent for the year, and had a correction in the middle. So in 50 declines in 95 years means that about once every 2 years, the market has a 10 percent correction…That’s going to get your attention, and it’s probably going to scare a lot of people.
Of the 50 declines of 10 percent or more this century, 15 have been a decline of 25 percent or more. Fifteen declines in 95 years is about once every 6 years…That certainly will get your attention. I haven’t seen much in human nature that’s changed in the last 400 years, so there will be these corrections every 2 to 6 years. And what are you going to do when that happens! If you’re prepared for it, you don’t panic.