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Farmas USA

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Farmas USA
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Farmas USA
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#96593

Re: Farmas USA

Toda tendencia alcista requiere de correcciones bajistas en el corto plazo para seguir subiendo ... toda tendencia bajista requiere de correcciones alcistas en el corto plazo para seguir bajando ... y recordemos que justo un segundo antes de que los toros empiecen a tomar el control siempre se ha tenido la impresión de que los osos reinaban a sus anchas. 

 

Hablando con ABUBNIC en ST me pasaba este link http://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/2016-election-forecast/

me comenta que no haga caso a las encuestras mediaticas sobre Trump, que ese link refleja mas la realidad de la situación. 

Bueno, ya veremos ... si que es cierto que no qusisiera que tuvieramos a Trump. Pero ya veremos ...

 

IBB RSI diario en 28 SOBREVENTA

IBB RSI semanal en 38 

Estoy con mucho respeto al asunto, por supuesto, pero estaria realmente acojonado si en vez de Noviembre estuvieramos en Mayo y con todo el verano por delante. Pero tras elecciones la proxima semana y proximas navidades ??? Espero ese rebote. LO ANSÍO.

De hecho, como vea AMGN en 133 cerca de la MM200 comprare 20k $ mas. 

Y otros 20k$ a CELG en cuanto cierre el gap .

Y lo mismo en HZNP entre 13,36 y 15,00 si se presenta la ocasión. 

Si me quedo pillado va a ser esta vez en 2-3 farmas que facturen billones.

 

 

#96598

Re: Farmas USA

AMRN

Yo también tengo en mente una entrada a AMRN si se deja en algún momento. Me acabo de leer el informe. Aquí pego lo que me ha parecido más interesante

As of September 30, 2016, the Company had current assets of $161.2 million, including cash and cash equivalents of $117.6 million. Cash and cash equivalents as of September 30, 2016 includes net proceeds of approximately $64.6 million resulting from the issuance of 24,265,000 American Depositary Shares, or ADSs, as part of a public offering completed in August 2016 (see Note 8—Equity). The Company’s condensed consolidated balance sheets also include long-term debt from royalty-bearing instrument and exchangeable senior notes. The outstanding January 2012 exchangeable senior notes, or the 2012 Notes, may be redeemed by the Company on or after January 19, 2017 and may be put back to the Company by the holders on each of January 19, 2017, 2022 and 2027 for cash equal to 100% of the principal amount of $15.1 million plus any accrued and unpaid interest. The 2012 Notes are exchangeable under certain circumstances into cash, ADSs, or a combination of cash and ADSs, at the Company’s election. Accordingly, the 2012 Notes represent a potential short-term claim on the liquid assets of the Company. In September 2016, the Company mandatorily exchanged the aggregate principal amount of $118.7 million of the May 2014 exchangeable senior notes, or the 2014 Notes, and the aggregate principal amount of $31.3 million of the November 2015 exchangeable senior notes, or the 2015 Notes, into ADSs such that they were retired in full, and derecognized the related derivative liabilities (see Note 6—Debt).
The Company believes its cash and cash equivalents will be sufficient to fund its projected operations for at least the next twelve months. Depending on the level of cash generated from operations, additional capital may be required to sustain operations, fund debt obligations or expand promotion of Vascepa as contemplated following anticipated successful results of the REDUCE-IT study. The Company anticipates that quarterly net cash outflows in future periods will be variable.

As of September 30, 2016, the remaining amount to be repaid to BioPharma is $128.8 million. During the three and nine months ended September 30, 2016, the Company made repayments under the agreement of $3.3 million and $8.5 million, respectively, to BioPharma and an additional $3.2 million is scheduled to be paid in November 2016 for the third quarter of 2016. These payments were calculated based on the threshold limitation, as described below, as opposed to the scheduled quarterly repayments. Additional quarterly repayments, subject to the threshold limitation, are scheduled to be paid.
The maximum quarterly amounts which could be due for payment, except upon a change of control and subject each quarter to the threshold limitation, are as follows: $15.0 million in the first quarter of 2017 and $13.0 million scheduled for payment in May 2017. All such payments reduce the remainder of the $150 million in aggregate payments to BioPharma. These quarterly payments are subject to a quarterly threshold amount whereby, if a calculated threshold, based on quarterly Vascepa revenues, is not achieved, the quarterly payment payable in that quarter can at the Company’s election be reduced, with the reduction carried forward without interest for payment in a future period. The payment of any carried forward amount is subject to similarly calculated threshold repayment amounts based on Vascepa revenue levels. Except upon a change of control in Amarin, the agreement does not expire until $150 million in aggregate has been repaid. Except in the event of the Company’s default, there is no compounding of interest and no scheduled cliff payment due under this agreement. Rather, payment will be made, subject to the threshold limitation, until $150 million in aggregate has been repaid, including payments made previously. The Company can prepay an amount equal to $150 million less any previously repaid amount.
The Company currently estimates that its Vascepa revenue levels will not be high enough in each quarter to support repayment to BioPharma in accordance with the maximum quarterly amounts in the repayment schedule.

In the ordinary course of business, the Company is from time to time involved in lawsuits, claims, investigations, proceedings, and threats of litigation relating to intellectual property, commercial arrangements and other matters. “Item 3. Legal Proceedings” of the Company’s Annual Report on Form 10-K for the fiscal year ended December 31, 2015, and “Item 1. Legal Proceedings” of the Company’s Quarterly Reports on Form 10-Q for the quarters ended March 31, 2016 and June 30, 2016 include discussions of the Company’s current legal proceedings. There have been no material changes to those disclosures as of the date of this filing other than as set forth below.
In September and October 2016, the Company received paragraph IV certification notices from four companies contending to varying degrees that certain of its patents are invalid, unenforceable and/or will not be infringed by the manufacture, use, sale or offer for sale of a generic form of Vascepa as described in those companies’ abbreviated new drug applications, or ANDAs. The Company filed or is in the process of filing patent infringement lawsuits against each of these ANDA applicants. In October 2016, Amarin filed a lawsuit against Roxane Laboratories, Inc. and related entities, or Roxane, in the U.S. District Court for the District of Nevada. The case against Roxane is captioned Amarin Pharma, Inc. et al. v. Roxane Laboratories, Inc. et al, Civ. A. No. 2:16-cv-02525 (D. Nev.). In the Roxane lawsuit, Amarin is seeking, among other remedies, an order enjoining Roxane from marketing generic versions of Vascepa before the last to expire of the asserted patents in 2030. The Company intends to vigorously enforce its intellectual property rights relating to Vascepa, but cannot predict the outcome of the Roxane lawsuit or any subsequently filed lawsuits.

In September 2016, the Company mandatorily exchanged $118.7 million and $31.3 million of aggregate principal amount of the 2014 Notes and 2015 Notes, respectively, resulting in the issuance of 47,739,925 ADSs and 12,571,263 ADSs, respectively, with each ADS representing one ordinary share of the Company (see Note 6—Debt).
In August 2016, the Company completed a public offering of 21,100,000 ADSs, with each ADS representing one ordinary share of the Company. Amarin also granted the underwriters a 30-day option to purchase an additional 3,165,000 ADSs at the same price, which was exercised in full. The underwriters purchased the ADSs from the Company at a price of $2.679 per ADS after commission, resulting in net proceeds to the Company of approximately $64.6 million, after deducting estimated offering expenses payable by the Company. The Company currently intends to use the net proceeds from the offering to advance its REDUCE-IT cardiovascular outcomes trial and for general corporate and working capital purposes.

no warrants remained outstanding as of September 30, 2016.

We market Vascepa in the United States through our sales force of approximately 150 sales professionals, including sales representatives and their managers. In March 2014, we entered into a co-promotion agreement in the United States with Kowa Pharmaceuticals America, Inc. under which no less than 250 Kowa Pharmaceuticals America, Inc. sales representatives began to devote a substantial portion of their time to promoting Vascepa starting in May 2014.
We have an exclusive agreement with Eddingpharm (Asia) Macao Commercial Offshore Limited, or Eddingpharm, to develop and commercialize Vascepa capsules in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan, or the China Territory. We also have an agreement to register and commercialize Vascepa in countries within the Middle East and North Africa and are assessing other partnership opportunities for licensing Vascepa in other territories outside of the United States.

The percentage of aggregate Vascepa gross margin earned by Kowa Pharmaceuticals America, Inc. was fifteen percent (15%) in 2015, is nineteen percent (19%) in 2016, and is scheduled to increase to low twenty percent levels in 2017 and 2018, subject to certain adjustments.
On February 26, 2015, the Company entered into a Development, Commercialization and Supply Agreement (the “DCS Agreement”) with Eddingpharm (Asia) Macao Commercial Offshore Limited (“Eddingpharm”) related to the development and commercialization of Vascepa in Mainland China, Hong Kong, Macau and Taiwan (the “China Territory”). Under the terms of the DCS Agreement, the Company granted to Eddingpharm an exclusive (including as to the Company) license with right to sublicense to develop and commercialize Vascepa in the China Territory for uses that are currently commercialized and under development by the Company based on the Company’s MARINE, ANCHOR and ongoing REDUCE-IT clinical trials of Vascepa.
In March 2016, Eddingpharm submitted its clinical trial application (“CTA”) with respect to the MARINE indication for Vascepa to the Chinese regulatory authority. In addition to the non-refundable, up-front and regulatory milestone payments described above, the Company is entitled to receive certain regulatory and sales-based milestone payments of up to an additional $153.0 million as well as tiered double-digit percentage royalties on net sales of Vascepa in the China Territory escalating to the high teens. The regulatory milestone events relate to the submission and approval of certain applications to the applicable regulatory authority, such as a clinical trial application, clinical trial exemption, or import drug license application. The sales-based milestone events occur when annual aggregate net sales of Vascepa in the territory equals or exceeds certain specified thresholds. During the nine months ended September 30, 2016 and 2015, the Company recognized $0.8 million and $0.5 million of up-front and milestone payments as licensing revenue, respectively, and recorded $15.4 million as deferred revenue as of September 30, 2016.

Terms of the agreement include up-front and milestone payments to us of up to $169.0 million, including a non-refundable $15.0 million up-front payment received at closing, a non-refundable milestone payment of $1.0 million received upon successful submission of a clinical trial application with respect to the MARINE indication for Vascepa to the Chinese regulatory authority in March 2016, and future development, regulatory and sales-based milestone payments of up to an additional $153.0 million. Eddingpharm will also pay us tiered double-digit percentage royalties on net sales of Vascepa in the China Territory escalating to the high teens. We will supply finished product to Eddingpharm under negotiated terms.
We also have an agreement to register and commercialize Vascepa in countries within the Middle East and North Africa. We continue to assess other partnership opportunities for licensing Vascepa in other territories outside of the United States.

In May 2016, the FDA determined Vascepa to be eligible for five-year, new chemical entity (NCE) marketing exclusivity
We are currently focused on completing the ongoing REDUCE-IT (Reduction of Cardiovascular Events with EPA—Intervention Trial) cardiovascular outcomes study of Vascepa, which we started in December 2011. REDUCE-IT, a multinational, prospective, randomized, double-blind, placebo-controlled study, is the first prospective cardiovascular outcomes study of any drug in a population of patients who, despite stable statin therapy, have elevated triglyceride levels. Based on the results of REDUCE-IT, we plan to seek additional indicated uses for Vascepa. In REDUCE-IT, cardiovascular event rates for patients on stable statin therapy plus four grams per day of Vascepa will be compared to cardiovascular event rates for patients on stable statin therapy plus placebo. In 2016, we completed patient enrollment and randomization of 8,175 individual patients into the REDUCE-IT study, slightly exceeding the 8,000 patients targeted for the trial.
The REDUCE-IT study is designed to be completed after reaching 1,612 aggregate cardiovascular events. Based on projected event rates, we estimate the onset of the target aggregate number of cardiovascular events to be reached in or about the fourth quarter of 2017 with study results then expected to be available and published in 2018.

The DMC completed its review of the interim analysis in September 2016 and, consistent with previously stated expectations, recommended that the trial continue as planned without modification. The second planned interim analysis of efficacy results will be triggered by the onset of approximately 80% of the target aggregate number of primary cardiovascular events in the study. Based on historical event rates, we anticipate that the onset of approximately 80% of events will occur in the first half of 2017, with the second pre-specified interim efficacy analysis by the DMC expected in or about the third quarter of 2017. The interim efficacy analysis will be accompanied by an interim safety analysis by the DMC. As is typical, the statistical threshold for defining overwhelming efficacy on the primary endpoint at interim analyses is considerably higher than the threshold for defining statistical significance at the end of the study. In addition, we have requested the DMC to not recommend stopping the study early based only upon achieving statistical significance for the primary endpoint, but to ensure that supportive trends of benefit are also consistently observed in certain secondary endpoints and subpopulations before recommending that the study be stopped early for overwhelming efficacy. It is our expectation that the 80% interim analysis will also result in a recommendation to continue the trial.

http://seekingalpha.com/filing/3275979?app=1&uprof=44

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